Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.124834 0.185001 0.254933 0.339921 0.438409 0.547250 0.675042
2026-01-25 0.049872 0.117840 0.213477 0.345028 0.511620 0.708123 0.950898
2026-02-01 0.014345 0.069503 0.167308 0.318129 0.522871 0.775655 1.098416
2026-02-08 0.000850 0.035068 0.125064 0.284269 0.516306 0.815216 1.208015
2026-02-15 NaN 0.019023 0.103716 0.273531 0.535100 0.882469 1.347990
2026-02-22 NaN 0.011534 0.094698 0.279302 0.575084 0.975998 1.520161
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005390 0.082419 0.276166 0.600171 1.048702 1.665326
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001099 0.065602 0.260175 0.603348 1.090322 1.769606
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000683 0.068863 0.284213 0.668639 1.217101 1.984537
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000412 0.072465 0.308961 0.735248 1.346041 2.202792
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000068 0.071159 0.322616 0.784082 1.450461 2.389336
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000064 0.077969 0.354617 0.862780 1.596883 2.631407
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000004 0.080573 0.378739 0.931617 1.733543 2.866216
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.074272 0.381842 0.966613 1.823734 3.041474
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.056810 0.353949 0.948249 1.837224 3.114357
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.039048 0.317870 0.912494 1.823695 3.149697
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.031251 0.306484 0.917835 1.868309 3.261895
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.029090 0.312614 0.954373 1.958620 3.435958
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.024682 0.309281 0.973154 2.022541 3.574213
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.017693 0.292256 0.965233 2.046089 3.657063
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.020552 0.317838 1.038324 2.191368 3.906902
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.023615 0.344115 1.112778 2.338826 4.159950
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.023965 0.358589 1.164898 2.452925 4.367541